The Illusion of Tchiroma’s Federal Republic: Can a State Destroy Trust and Still Demand Unity?

The Illusion of Tchiroma’s Federal Republic: Can a State Destroy Trust and Still Demand Unity?

By Ali Dan Ismael
Editor-in-Chief, The Independentist News

The Return of a Familiar Promise

In moments of deep political crisis, states often attempt survival first through language before confronting reality through structural change.

That is the atmosphere now surrounding recent rhetoric about a so-called “Federal Republic of Cameroon” associated with Issa Tchiroma Bakary and elements within the ageing Yaoundé political establishment.

To international observers unfamiliar with the long constitutional history of the conflict, the language may sound hopeful. “Federal Republic.” The phrase appears conciliatory. Inclusive. Reformist. Even visionary.

But for many Ambazonians, constitutional historians, and political observers, the phrase immediately triggers a more uncomfortable question: Federalism between whom?

Because the central dispute at the heart of the crisis has always been deeper than administrative decentralization.

It concerns the destruction of the original federal arrangement between the former British Southern Cameroons and La République du Cameroun after reunification in 1961.

For many Southern Cameroonians, what followed was not equal union, but progressive absorption: constitutional dilution, administrative centralization, erosion of local institutions, cultural assimilation, and concentration of power in Yaoundé.

That historical memory changes everything. Because when a political class that spent decades rejecting federalism suddenly rediscovers its vocabulary after years of war, skepticism becomes inevitable. To many observers, the key question is no longer whether federalism sounds attractive.

The question is whether the proposal represents genuine transformation — or merely survival politics under new branding. The Shadow of Political Memory

Distrust toward the Tchiroma proposal does not emerge in a vacuum.

It is shaped by years of political rhetoric, state violence, and unresolved trauma. Many Ambazonians remember that while serving as Communications Minister under the government of Paul Biya, Issa Tchiroma publicly defended the state’s hardline position during some of the most violent phases of the conflict.

Critics frequently reference televised statements attributed to him during that period, including rhetoric widely interpreted as signaling the regime’s willingness to use extreme force to preserve what it described as national unity.

For communities affected by military operations, displacement, village destruction, disappearances, and civilian casualties, such memories are not abstract political disagreements. They are part of lived experience. And this is precisely where the current federal discourse encounters its deepest credibility problem. Because reconciliation is not built only on new slogans. It also depends on memory, accountability, and trust.

Many Ambazonians now ask: Can the same political establishment that once dismissed federalism, criminalized dissent, and defended military repression suddenly reinvent itself as the architect of coexistence? That is the contradiction haunting the current debate.

Why Federalism Suddenly Returned

For years, the Yaoundé establishment portrayed federalism as dangerous, outdated, or even subversive. Those advocating restoration of federal structures were often marginalized politically or portrayed as enemies of national unity.

Now, after years of instability and growing international scrutiny, elements within the same establishment suddenly speak the language of federal reform. Why? Because the original state narrative is collapsing.

The attempt to frame the Ambazonian conflict purely as a “security problem” has failed to fully convince international observers. Despite military offensives, communication shutdowns, arrests, propaganda campaigns, and heavy securitization, the crisis has persisted. More importantly, the conflict exposed structural fractures that extend far beyond the Northwest and Southwest regions: overcentralization, elite monopolization of power, uneven development, economic extraction, corruption, institutional decay, and widespread distrust toward the state itself.

The federal language now emerging appears less like ideological conversion and more like political adaptation under pressure. In other words, the system may finally be recognizing that brute force alone cannot restore legitimacy. The Constitutional Question They Still Avoid, Yet the deeper constitutional issue remains unresolved.

The Tchiroma discourse speaks frequently about preserving Cameroon. But far less about confronting the original rupture that produced the current crisis. It speaks about coexistence. But avoids direct accountability for the dismantling of the original federal arrangement. It speaks about dialogue. But often without acknowledging the historical argument advanced by many Southern Cameroons nationalists — namely, that two distinct political entities entered reunification under contested circumstances.

That distinction is critical. Because to many within the Yaoundé political class, federalism simply means decentralizing administration while preserving the unquestioned supremacy of the current state structure.

But to many Ambazonians, meaningful federal discussion would first require recognition that the constitutional foundation itself remains disputed. Without addressing that foundational issue, critics argue that “Federal Republic” risks becoming little more than political cosmetics: a softer vocabulary masking the continuation of centralized control.

The Crisis Is No Longer Only Political. The greatest challenge facing any future settlement may no longer be constitutional engineering. It may be a psychological rupture. Entire generations have now grown up under conditions of conflict, displacement, militarization, fear, and competing sovereignties. For many young Ambazonians, the crisis fundamentally transformed identity itself. The conflict is no longer viewed only through the lens of governance. It is increasingly viewed through: memory, security, dignity, historical grievance, and survival.

This is why many observers describe today’s younger generation as the “Never Again” generation. Not because all reject coexistence automatically, but because trust in the current political order has been severely damaged.

And once populations begin psychologically separating themselves from the legitimacy of a state, institutional reforms alone may no longer reverse the rupture. History repeatedly demonstrates this reality.

The Soviet Union attempted reform before its collapse. Yugoslavia attempted negotiated restructuring amid fragmentation. Sudan attempted temporary political settlements before eventual partition.

In each case, delayed recognition of foundational grievances narrowed the space for peaceful compromise. Cameroon now risks entering a similarly dangerous historical zone.

The Tragedy of Delayed Federalism. Ironically, genuine federalism, honestly negotiated decades ago, may have prevented much of the current catastrophe.

But federalism, proposed after years of bloodshed, hardened identities, village destruction, displacement, and mutual distrust, enters a completely different political environment.

Trust, once broken, becomes extraordinarily expensive to rebuild. That is the fundamental dilemma confronting Cameroon today. Because the issue is no longer simply whether federalism is theoretically possible. The deeper question is whether the populations involved still believe a shared political future remains psychologically and politically sustainable. That question cannot be answered through slogans. It cannot be resolved through public relations campaigns, televised declarations, or rhetorical constitutionalism. And it certainly cannot be solved through force alone. A state may impose obedience temporarily through military power. But unity built without trust eventually becomes fragile. History repeatedly proves that fear can preserve territory for a time. But fear alone rarely builds lasting legitimacy. And that may ultimately become the greatest challenge facing the modern Cameroonian state.

The Illusion of Tchiroma’s Federal Republic: Can a State Destroy Trust and Still Demand Unity?

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